Caroline Ellison Most Likely Won’t Serve Time, Polymarket Traders Bet

Traders on Polymarket are betting the court will show mercy, with “yes” shares for “no prison time” trading at 48 cents, meaning the market sees a 48% chance she’ll be released. Each share pays out $1 (in USDC, a cryptocurrency that trades 1:1 for dollars) if the prediction comes true, and nothing if it doesn’t.